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CheckWeather USBonita Springs
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Bonita Springs weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Bonita Springs today. Tomorrow looks showers around 88°, with a 81% chance of rain.

91°78°
88°76°
87°76°
89°76°
92°76°
91°77°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Drizzle
Today 89°·Low 77°·Rain 19%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 78°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Thunderstorm
Today 93°·Low 78°·Rain 96%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bonita Springs and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
91° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
88° 76°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
87° 76°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
89° 76°
±9°
Wed
Drizzle
92° 76°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
91° 77°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
89° 77°
±7°
Sat
Thunderstorm
90° 77°
models agree
Sun
Showers
92° 77°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
91° 77°
±9°
Tue
Thunderstorm
90° 76°
±6°
Wed
Thunderstorm
90° 78°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
87° 77°
±7°
Fri
Thunderstorm
91° 74°
±6°

Bonita Springs, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bonita Springs right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bonita Springs climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
74°
58°
Feb
77°
59°
Mar
81°
64°
Apr
83°
66°
May
88°
71°
Jun
87°
74°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
89°
76°
Sep
88°
75°
Oct
85°
70°
Nov
82°
65°
Dec
75°
60°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bonita Springs?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F93±2.3 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°89° to 93°±77%19% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±1°88° to 89°±58%23% to 81% chance
Mon±2°86° to 88°±47%39% to 86% chance
Tue±9°84° to 93°±19%69% to 88% chance
Wed±4°90° to 94°±20%68% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bonita Springs

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bonita Springs today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bonita Springs today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bonita Springs today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bonita Springs and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bonita Springs?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bonita Springs (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bonita Springs?
July is typically the warmest month in Bonita Springs, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Bonita Springs get?
The coldest month in Bonita Springs is January, when overnight lows average about 58°F.
How much rain does Bonita Springs get?
Bonita Springs sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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