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CheckWeather USLakeland
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lakeland weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Lakeland today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 89°, with a 85% chance of rain.

91°75°
89°76°
87°75°
89°74°
90°75°
89°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 75°·Rain 32%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Thunderstorm
Today 91°·Low 76°·Rain 32%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Thunderstorm
Today 91°·Low 75°·Rain 92%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lakeland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
91° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
89° 76°
models agree
Mon
Showers
87° 75°
±5°
Tue
Showers
89° 74°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
90° 75°
±6°
Thu
Showers
89° 75°
±6°
Fri
Thunderstorm
90° 75°
±8°
Sat
Drizzle
90° 76°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
91° 76°
±7°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
90° 75°
±7°
Tue
Thunderstorm
89° 75°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 74°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 74°
±8°
Fri
Showers
85° 71°
models agree

Lakeland, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 52°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lakeland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lakeland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
71°
52°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
81°
60°
Apr
85°
63°
May
90°
68°
Jun
90°
72°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
90°
75°
Sep
88°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
71°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lakeland?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
51
/100rank #2
70±3.0°F91±2.7 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°90° to 91°±60%32% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±2°88° to 90°±61%24% to 85% chance
Mon±5°84° to 89°±28%69% to 97% chance
Tue±5°88° to 93°±12%81% to 93% chance
Wed±6°88° to 94°±17%76% to 93% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lakeland

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:44
Daylight
12h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lakeland today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lakeland today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lakeland today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lakeland and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lakeland?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lakeland (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 51. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lakeland?
July is typically the warmest month in Lakeland, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Lakeland get?
The coldest month in Lakeland is January, when overnight lows average about 52°F.
How much rain does Lakeland get?
Lakeland sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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