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CheckWeather USPalm Bay
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Palm Bay weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Palm Bay's high today between 87° and 92°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 87°, with a 99% chance of rain.

90°76°
87°75°
85°75°
87°74°
88°77°
88°77°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 77°·Rain 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Thunderstorm
Today 91°·Low 77°·Rain 48%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Showers
Today 92°·Low 76°·Rain 92%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palm Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
90° 76°
±5°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
87° 75°
models agree
Mon
Showers
85° 75°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
87° 74°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 77°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 77°
±5°
Fri
Thunderstorm
89° 77°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
89° 76°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
88° 77°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
87° 77°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
87° 77°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
89° 74°
models agree
Thu
Showers
86° 74°
±12°
Fri
Thunderstorm
88° 73°
±6°

Palm Bay, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 57°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palm Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palm Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
72°
57°
Feb
76°
58°
Mar
80°
63°
Apr
81°
66°
May
85°
70°
Jun
88°
73°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
89°
77°
Sep
87°
74°
Oct
82°
71°
Nov
78°
65°
Dec
72°
59°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palm Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
79±2.1°F95±1.7 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
51
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F83±5.4 mph023% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°87° to 92°±44%48% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±3°86° to 88°±80%19% to 99% chance
Mon±3°84° to 87°±18%76% to 94% chance
Tue±3°85° to 89°±34%60% to 94% chance
Wed±3°86° to 89°±53%45% to 98% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palm Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
12h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palm Bay today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Palm Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palm Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Palm Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palm Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palm Bay (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 51. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palm Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in Palm Bay, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Palm Bay get?
The coldest month in Palm Bay is January, when overnight lows average about 57°F.
How much rain does Palm Bay get?
Palm Bay sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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