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CheckWeather USPalm Coast
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Palm Coast weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Palm Coast today. Tomorrow looks showers around 89°, with a 99% chance of rain.

87°75°
89°75°
86°74°
86°74°
88°75°
90°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Thunderstorm
Today 89°·Low 74°·Rain 58%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Heavy showers
Today 87°·Low 76°·Rain 58%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Thunderstorm
Today 85°·Low 74°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palm Coast and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
87° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
89° 75°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
86° 74°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
86° 74°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 75°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
90° 75°
±7°
Fri
Light drizzle
92° 75°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
87° 76°
±15°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 76°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 76°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
90° 75°
±5°
Wed
Showers
88° 74°
±15°
Thu
Showers
87° 72°
±15°
Fri
Light drizzle
81° 72°
models agree

Palm Coast, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 51°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palm Coast right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palm Coast climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
51°
Feb
72°
54°
Mar
76°
59°
Apr
79°
62°
May
84°
68°
Jun
88°
72°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
90°
76°
Sep
86°
73°
Oct
80°
67°
Nov
75°
61°
Dec
69°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palm Coast?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
77
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.3 mph5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
54
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F88±3.7 mph039% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°85° to 89°±42%58% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°87° to 91°±69%30% to 99% chance
Mon±1°85° to 86°±19%74% to 93% chance
Tue±2°85° to 88°±14%64% to 78% chance
Wed±3°86° to 90°±47%42% to 89% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palm Coast

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palm Coast today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Palm Coast today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palm Coast today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Palm Coast and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palm Coast?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palm Coast (CheckWeather Score 77/100), ahead of the American at 54. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palm Coast?
July is typically the warmest month in Palm Coast, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Palm Coast get?
The coldest month in Palm Coast is January, when overnight lows average about 51°F.
How much rain does Palm Coast get?
Palm Coast sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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