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Dunedin weather

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Dunedin weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Dunedin…

Dunedin weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Dunedin swings 34°F across the year, from 87°F highs in August to 53°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 247 days a year at 77°F or above, 92 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 157 days.

Warmest month
August
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
53°F average low
Wettest month
August
51 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
36,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
247 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
157 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Dunedin’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dunedin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dunedin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dunedin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Dunedin, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dunedin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dunedin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
68°
53°
Feb
70°
54°
Mar
73°
58°
Apr
78°
62°
May
83°
68°
Jun
85°
73°
Jul
85°
72°
Aug
87°
74°
Sep
86°
72°
Oct
82°
66°
Nov
75°
59°
Dec
71°
56°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Dunedin has changed since 1995

Dunedin sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Tampa. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Tampa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dunedin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Dunedin today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dunedin today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dunedin today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dunedin and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dunedin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dunedin (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dunedin?
August is typically the warmest month in Dunedin, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Dunedin get?
The coldest month in Dunedin is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Dunedin get?
Dunedin sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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