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CheckWeather USPalm Harbor
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Palm Harbor weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Palm Harbor today. Tomorrow looks showers around 90°, with a 71% chance of rain.

91°78°
90°79°
88°78°
88°78°
90°77°
89°78°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 78°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Cloudy
Today 91°·Low 78°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Light drizzle
Today 93°·Low 77°·Rain 63%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Palm Harbor and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
91° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
90° 79°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 78°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
88° 78°
models agree
Wed
Thunderstorm
90° 77°
models agree
Thu
Thunderstorm
89° 78°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
88° 79°
±6°
Sat
Thunderstorm
90° 79°
±5°
Sun
Thunderstorm
91° 79°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
89° 78°
±4°
Tue
Thunderstorm
88° 78°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
89° 79°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
87° 79°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
87° 75°
±4°

Palm Harbor, FL is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Palm Harbor right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Palm Harbor climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
53°
Feb
72°
56°
Mar
78°
62°
Apr
82°
65°
May
86°
71°
Jun
87°
75°
Jul
89°
76°
Aug
90°
77°
Sep
88°
74°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
78°
62°
Dec
71°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palm Harbor?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F94±1.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
52
/100rank #2
73±2.7°F93±2.1 mph039% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°90° to 93°±52%11% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±2°89° to 91°±48%23% to 71% chance
Mon±3°87° to 90°±38%46% to 84% chance
Tue±4°87° to 91°±26%67% to 93% chance
Wed±3°89° to 92°±29%60% to 89% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palm Harbor

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palm Harbor today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Palm Harbor today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palm Harbor today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Palm Harbor and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palm Harbor?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palm Harbor (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 52. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palm Harbor?
August is typically the warmest month in Palm Harbor, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Palm Harbor get?
The coldest month in Palm Harbor is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Palm Harbor get?
Palm Harbor sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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