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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Clearwater (Clearwater Beach) weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Clearwater today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 82°, with a 13% chance of rain.

81°61°
82°67°
83°69°
83°67°
82°67°
83°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 62°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Partly cloudy
Today 80°·Low 60°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Light drizzle
Today 82°·Low 61°·Rain 39%
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Clearwater weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Clearwater…

Clearwater weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Clearwater swings 34°F across the year, from 87°F highs in August to 53°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 51 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 246 days a year at 77°F or above, 92 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 154 days.

Warmest month
August
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
53°F average low
Wettest month
August
51 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
117,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
246 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
154 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Clearwater’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Clearwater and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Clearwater hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Clearwater 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
81° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
82° 67°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
83° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
83° 67°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 67°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
83° 69°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
83° 68°
±10°
Sat
Light drizzle
83° 67°
±10°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 69°
±10°
Mon
Cloudy
81° 68°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 69°
±9°
Wed
Clear
75° 66°
±6°
Thu
Clear
77° 65°
±6°

Clearwater, Florida (FL) (often shortened to Clearwater Beach) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 51 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Clearwater right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Clearwater climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
68°
53°
Feb
70°
54°
Mar
73°
58°
Apr
78°
62°
May
84°
68°
Jun
85°
73°
Jul
86°
73°
Aug
87°
74°
Sep
86°
72°
Oct
82°
66°
Nov
75°
59°
Dec
71°
56°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Clearwater has changed since 1995

Clearwater sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Tampa. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Tampa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Clearwater?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F95±1.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°80° to 82°±37%2% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±3°80° to 84°±10%3% to 13% chance
Mon±3°82° to 85°±21%1% to 22% chance
Tue±4°81° to 85°±16%2% to 18% chance
Wed±7°79° to 86°±30%5% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Clearwater

today, local time
Sunrise
07:37
Sunset
18:53
Daylight
11h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Clearwater today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Clearwater today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 82°, with a 13% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Clearwater today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Clearwater on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 13% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 13%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 39%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Clearwater?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Clearwater (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Clearwater?
August is typically the warmest month in Clearwater, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Clearwater get?
The coldest month in Clearwater is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Clearwater get?
Clearwater sees roughly 51 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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