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Live Oak weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normals
Live Oak swings 45°F across the year, from 89°F highs in June to 44°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation.
Warmest month
June
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
44°F average low
Wettest month
July
53 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
6,931
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The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Live Oak and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Live Oak hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Live Oak 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Live Oak, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Live Oak right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
64°
44°
Feb
67°
46°
Mar
72°
52°
Apr
79°
56°
May
85°
65°
Jun
89°
69°
Jul
89°
72°
Aug
89°
72°
Sep
85°
69°
Oct
80°
61°
Nov
69°
52°
Dec
65°
47°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Live Oak's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.6°F
Around Live Oak, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 95°F
2 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
8 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >95°F vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.0°F
−11
+7
+5%
1996
−2.1°F
−9
+13
+5%
1997
−1.0°F
−15
−3
+1%
1998
+0.4°F
+16
−10
+5%
1999
+0.4°F
−3
−3
+1%
2000
−0.5°F
+28
+12
+1%
2001
−0.1°F
−13
−1
+1%
2002
+0.4°F
+7
+4
−3%
2003
−1.6°F
−20
+8
−3%
2004
−0.5°F
−8
+3
+1%
2005
−1.2°F
−18
−3
+1%
2006
+0.8°F
+25
−5
+1%
2007
+0.8°F
+9
−5
+5%
2008
−1.2°F
−1
+5
+5%
2009
−1.0°F
−13
+3
+1%
2010
−2.1°F
+14
+28
−3%
2011
+0.8°F
+44
−1
+1%
2012
+0.4°F
−14
−5
+1%
2013
−0.7°F
−20
−7
+1%
2014
−1.7°F
−3
+10
−8%
2015
+1.3°F
−5
+0
−8%
2016
+0.8°F
+11
−2
+1%
2017
+1.3°F
−13
−9
+1%
2018
+0.2°F
−19
+3
−3%
2019
+1.5°F
+23
−8
+1%
2020
+1.3°F
−9
−5
+5%
2021
+0.1°F
−12
−13
−3%
2022
+1.1°F
+5
−2
−3%
2023
+1.7°F
−1
−12
+1%
2024
+1.5°F
+12
−5
+1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Live Oak, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F
97±1.1 mph
9396% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F
94±2.0 mph
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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EuropeanECMWF
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Common questions
What's the weather in Live Oak today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Live Oak today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Live Oak today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Live Oak and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Live Oak?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Live Oak forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Live Oak?
June is typically the warmest month in Live Oak, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Live Oak get?
The coldest month in Live Oak is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Live Oak get?
Live Oak sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Live Oak getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Live Oak, 2015-2024 averaged 1.6°F warmer than 1995-2004.
