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CheckWeather USPort Orange
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Port Orange weather

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Thunderstorm,thunder likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Port Orange's high today between 87° and 93°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks thunderstorm around 87°, with a 100% chance of rain.

90°75°
87°75°
85°74°
86°74°
87°76°
88°75°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 75°·Rain 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Heavy showers
Today 88°·Low 75°·Rain 52%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Thunderstorm
Today 93°·Low 76°·Rain 99%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Port Orange and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
90° 75°
±6°
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
87° 75°
models agree
Mon
Showers
85° 74°
models agree
Tue
Showers
86° 74°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
87° 76°
±6°
Thu
Thunderstorm
88° 75°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
91° 76°
±10°
Sat
Thunderstorm
87° 76°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
89° 76°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
88° 76°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
90° 75°
±8°
Wed
Thunderstorm
90° 74°
±9°
Thu
Thunderstorm
87° 73°
±14°
Fri
Showers
86° 73°
±9°

Port Orange, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 54°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Port Orange right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Port Orange climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
54°
Feb
72°
57°
Mar
75°
62°
Apr
78°
65°
May
83°
70°
Jun
86°
74°
Jul
89°
76°
Aug
89°
77°
Sep
84°
75°
Oct
80°
71°
Nov
75°
64°
Dec
69°
58°

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Orange?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
79
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F92±2.4 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
53
/100rank #2
76±2.4°F92±2.6 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°87° to 93°±47%52% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±2°87° to 89°±78%22% to 100% chance
Mon±3°83° to 86°±24%76% to 100% chance
Tue±6°83° to 89°±18%64% to 82% chance
Wed±6°84° to 91°±44%45% to 89% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Orange

today, local time
Sunrise
07:03
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Orange today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Port Orange today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Port Orange today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Port Orange and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Orange?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port Orange (CheckWeather Score 79/100), ahead of the American at 53. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Orange?
July is typically the warmest month in Port Orange, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Port Orange get?
The coldest month in Port Orange is January, when overnight lows average about 54°F.
How much rain does Port Orange get?
Port Orange sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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