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CheckWeather USCelebration

Celebration weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Drizzle
Feels 86° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Overcast
Feels 81° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Drizzle
Feels 84° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 99%

Latest for Celebration: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 76° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 74° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 74° Drizzle.

Celebration weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Celebration swings 38°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 53°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 60 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
53°F average low
Wettest month
September
60 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
7,427
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Celebration and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Celebration, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Celebration right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Celebration climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
71°
53°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
81°
60°
Apr
85°
63°
May
89°
68°
Jun
90°
72°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
91°
75°
Sep
88°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
78°
61°
Dec
71°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Celebration today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Celebration today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Celebration today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Celebration and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Celebration?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Celebration forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Celebration?
July is typically the warmest month in Celebration, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Celebration get?
The coldest month in Celebration is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Celebration get?
Celebration sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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