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CheckWeather US›Florida›Kissimmee
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Kissimmee weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Kissimmee today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 80°, with a 52% chance of rain.

80°62°
80°67°
81°69°
81°68°
80°67°
82°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Clear
Feels 73° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Clear
Feels 71° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Clear
Feels 71° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 75%

Latest for Kissimmee: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 72° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 72° Clear · European (ECMWF): 70° Clear.

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Kissimmee weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Kissimmee weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kissimmee swings 37°F across the year, from 88°F highs in May to 51°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 279 days a year at 77°F or above, 141 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 172 days.

Warmest month
May
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
51°F average low
Wettest month
June
53 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
69,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
279 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
172 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kissimmee’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kissimmee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kissimmee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kissimmee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
80° 67°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
81° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
81° 68°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
80° 67°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
82° 69°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 68°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 67°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
81° 67°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 66°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 65°
±5°
Wed
Clear
80° 64°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
80° 63°
models agree

Kissimmee, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in May (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 51°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kissimmee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kissimmee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
70°
51°
Feb
73°
52°
Mar
78°
57°
Apr
83°
61°
May
88°
67°
Jun
88°
71°
Jul
87°
72°
Aug
88°
73°
Sep
86°
71°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
76°
60°
Dec
70°
55°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kissimmee has changed since 1995

Kissimmee sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Orlando. That square ran 1.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Orlando page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kissimmee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
50
/100rank #2
65±3.5°F91±2.7 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°80° to 81°±29%10% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±3°79° to 82°±18%34% to 52% chance
Mon±2°80° to 82°±29%4% to 33% chance
Tue±1°81° to 82°±28%3% to 31% chance
Wed±1°80° to 81°±34%7% to 41% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kissimmee

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:47
Daylight
11h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kissimmee today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Kissimmee today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 80°, with a 52% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kissimmee today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Kissimmee on Sunday, October 25: NWS 34%, American 34%, European 52%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 39%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kissimmee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kissimmee (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 50. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kissimmee?
May is typically the warmest month in Kissimmee, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Kissimmee get?
The coldest month in Kissimmee is January, when overnight lows average about 51°F.
How much rain does Kissimmee get?
Kissimmee sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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