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CheckWeather USKissimmee
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Kissimmee weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Kissimmee's high today between 89° and 95°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks showers around 90°, with a 100% chance of rain.

92°76°
90°75°
86°75°
88°75°
90°75°
90°76°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Drizzle
Today 89°·Low 76°·Rain 42%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Light drizzle
Today 95°·Low 76°·Rain 42%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Thunderstorm
Today 91°·Low 76°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kissimmee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
92° 76°
±6°
Tomorrow
Showers
90° 75°
models agree
Mon
Showers
86° 75°
models agree
Tue
Showers
88° 75°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
90° 75°
±7°
Thu
Showers
90° 76°
±7°
Fri
Thunderstorm
89° 76°
±6°
Sat
Thunderstorm
91° 76°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 76°
±9°
Mon
Showers
90° 76°
±8°
Tue
Thunderstorm
89° 76°
±8°
Wed
Thunderstorm
90° 74°
models agree
Thu
Showers
87° 74°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
85° 72°
models agree

Kissimmee, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 62 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kissimmee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kissimmee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
72°
53°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
82°
61°
Apr
85°
63°
May
90°
69°
Jun
90°
73°
Jul
91°
76°
Aug
91°
76°
Sep
88°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
78°
62°
Dec
71°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Kissimmee?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F95±1.6 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
51
/100rank #2
70±3.0°F93±2.2 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°89° to 95°±58%42% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°89° to 91°±72%28% to 100% chance
Mon±4°84° to 88°±17%78% to 95% chance
Tue±5°86° to 91°±8%81% to 89% chance
Wed±7°86° to 93°±15%77% to 92% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kissimmee

today, local time
Sunrise
07:06
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kissimmee today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Kissimmee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kissimmee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Kissimmee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kissimmee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kissimmee (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 51. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kissimmee?
July is typically the warmest month in Kissimmee, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Kissimmee get?
The coldest month in Kissimmee is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Kissimmee get?
Kissimmee sees roughly 62 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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