Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USOrlando
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Orlando weather

Loading live data…

Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Orlando's high today between 89° and 95°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 90°, with a 97% chance of rain.

92°76°
90°75°
86°76°
90°76°
91°76°
91°77°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Light drizzle
Today 89°·Low 77°·Rain 23%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Cloudy
Today 95°·Low 75°·Rain 23%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Today 90°·Low 77°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Orlando and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
92° 76°
±6°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
90° 75°
±4°
Mon
Showers
86° 76°
±6°
Tue
Showers
90° 76°
±10°
Wed
Showers
91° 76°
±10°
Thu
Thunderstorm
91° 77°
±9°
Fri
Thunderstorm
90° 78°
±9°
Sat
Thunderstorm
91° 77°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 78°
±10°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
91° 78°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
90° 77°
±10°
Wed
Thunderstorm
91° 77°
±8°
Thu
Showers
90° 76°
±11°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
87° 73°
±7°

Orlando, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 64 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Orlando right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Orlando climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
71°
53°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
81°
60°
Apr
83°
63°
May
88°
69°
Jun
89°
73°
Jul
90°
76°
Aug
90°
76°
Sep
87°
73°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
77°
61°
Dec
71°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Orlando?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F96±1.1 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
37
/100rank #2
37±6.3°F87±4.0 mph039% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°89° to 95°±77%23% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±4°87° to 92°±70%27% to 97% chance
Mon±6°82° to 88°±22%75% to 97% chance
Tue±10°87° to 97°±7%78% to 85% chance
Wed±10°87° to 97°±12%78% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Orlando

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
12h 37m

Common questions

What's the weather in Orlando today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Orlando today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Orlando today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Orlando and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Orlando?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Orlando (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 37. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Orlando?
July is typically the warmest month in Orlando, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Orlando get?
The coldest month in Orlando is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Orlando get?
Orlando sees roughly 64 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather