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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

St. Petersburg weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in St. Petersburg today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 82°, with a 13% chance of rain.

81°62°
82°67°
85°69°
84°66°
83°66°
84°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
68°
Clear
Feels 68° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
64°
Clear
Feels 63° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Clear
Feels 62° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 75%

Latest for St. Petersburg: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 68° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 64° Clear · European (ECMWF): 64° Clear.

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St. Petersburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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St. Petersburg weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

St. Petersburg swings 33°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 54°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 252 days a year at 77°F or above, 109 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 150 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
54°F average low
Wettest month
August
54 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
257,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
252 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
150 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for St. Petersburg’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around St. Petersburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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St. Petersburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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St. Petersburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
81° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
82° 67°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
85° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
84° 66°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
83° 66°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
84° 69°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
84° 68°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
84° 67°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 68°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
82° 67°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 69°
±7°
Wed
Clear
78° 65°
models agree
Thu
Clear
80° 64°
models agree

St. Petersburg, Florida (FL) (often shortened to St. Pete) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 54°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for St. Petersburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

St. Petersburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
67°
54°
Feb
70°
56°
Mar
73°
59°
Apr
78°
64°
May
84°
70°
Jun
86°
74°
Jul
87°
75°
Aug
86°
76°
Sep
86°
74°
Oct
82°
68°
Nov
75°
61°
Dec
71°
57°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around St. Petersburg has changed since 1995

St. Petersburg sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Tampa. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Tampa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in St. Petersburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F93±2.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±1.9 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°80° to 82°±37%2% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±4°80° to 84°±7%6% to 13% chance
Mon±1°84° to 85°±21%1% to 22% chance
Tue±2°83° to 85°±16%2% to 18% chance
Wed±5°82° to 86°±31%4% to 35% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in St. Petersburg

today, local time
Sunrise
07:36
Sunset
18:52
Daylight
11h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in St. Petersburg today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in St. Petersburg today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 82°, with a 13% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in St. Petersburg today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in St. Petersburg on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 13% (NWS 6%, American 6%, European 13%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 39%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for St. Petersburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for St. Petersburg (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in St. Petersburg?
July is typically the warmest month in St. Petersburg, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does St. Petersburg get?
The coldest month in St. Petersburg is January, when overnight lows average about 54°F.
How much rain does St. Petersburg get?
St. Petersburg sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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