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CheckWeather USMiami Beach
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Miami Beach weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Miami Beach today. Tomorrow looks showers around 86°, with a 96% chance of rain.

89°80°
86°78°
87°78°
88°80°
89°83°
88°83°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Showers
Today 89°·Low 82°·Rain 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Showers
Today 89°·Low 78°·Rain 52%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Thunderstorm
Today 88°·Low 80°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Miami Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
89° 80°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
86° 78°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
87° 78°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
88° 80°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
89° 83°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 83°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
88° 82°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
88° 82°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
87° 83°
±7°
Mon
Showers
88° 82°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
88° 81°
models agree
Wed
Thunderstorm
88° 80°
models agree
Thu
Thunderstorm
88° 80°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
88° 80°
models agree

Miami Beach, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 64°F), with roughly 76 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Miami Beach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Miami Beach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
77°
64°
Feb
78°
64°
Mar
81°
68°
Apr
82°
69°
May
87°
73°
Jun
86°
75°
Jul
89°
78°
Aug
89°
78°
Sep
87°
77°
Oct
84°
74°
Nov
81°
70°
Dec
76°
65°

Which forecast is most accurate in Miami Beach?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
52
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F82±5.7 mph039% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°88° to 89°±46%52% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°85° to 88°±66%30% to 96% chance
Mon±2°86° to 88°±15%64% to 79% chance
Tue±5°85° to 90°±13%63% to 76% chance
Wed±1°88° to 89°±41%25% to 66% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Miami Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:35
Daylight
12h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Miami Beach today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Miami Beach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Miami Beach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Miami Beach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Miami Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Miami Beach (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 52. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Miami Beach?
July is typically the warmest month in Miami Beach, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Miami Beach get?
The coldest month in Miami Beach is January, when overnight lows average about 64°F.
How much rain does Miami Beach get?
Miami Beach sees roughly 76 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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