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Lake Magdalene weather

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Lake Magdalene weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lake Magdalene weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lake Magdalene swings 36°F across the year, from 87°F highs in May to 51°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 272 days a year at 77°F or above, 130 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 164 days.

Warmest month
May
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
51°F average low
Wettest month
August
54 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
29,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
272 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
164 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lake Magdalene’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Magdalene and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lake Magdalene hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lake Magdalene 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lake Magdalene, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in May (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 51°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Magdalene right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lake Magdalene climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
69°
51°
Feb
73°
53°
Mar
76°
56°
Apr
81°
60°
May
87°
66°
Jun
87°
71°
Jul
87°
72°
Aug
87°
73°
Sep
87°
71°
Oct
82°
66°
Nov
75°
58°
Dec
71°
55°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lake Magdalene has changed since 1995

Lake Magdalene sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Tampa. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Tampa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lake Magdalene?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±2.0 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Magdalene today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lake Magdalene today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake Magdalene today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lake Magdalene and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Magdalene?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lake Magdalene (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lake Magdalene?
May is typically the warmest month in Lake Magdalene, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Lake Magdalene get?
The coldest month in Lake Magdalene is January, when overnight lows average about 51°F.
How much rain does Lake Magdalene get?
Lake Magdalene sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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