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CheckWeather USCarrollwood

Carrollwood weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Clear
Feels 93° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 80%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Clear
Feels 92° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 78%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Light drizzle
Feels 91° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 86%

Latest for Carrollwood: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 83° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 83° Clear · European (ECMWF): 81° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carrollwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Carrollwood, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 53°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carrollwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carrollwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
70°
53°
Feb
75°
55°
Mar
80°
61°
Apr
84°
64°
May
90°
70°
Jun
89°
74°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
91°
77°
Sep
89°
74°
Oct
83°
67°
Nov
79°
62°
Dec
71°
56°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carrollwood?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F96±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
62
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F93±2.3 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Carrollwood today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carrollwood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carrollwood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carrollwood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carrollwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carrollwood (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carrollwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Carrollwood, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Carrollwood get?
The coldest month in Carrollwood is January, when overnight lows average about 53°F.
How much rain does Carrollwood get?
Carrollwood sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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