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CheckWeather USHomestead
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Homestead weather

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Thunderstorm,thunder likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Homestead today. Tomorrow looks heavy showers around 85°, with a 95% chance of rain.

88°77°
85°76°
86°76°
90°77°
90°78°
89°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Thunderstorm
Today 89°·Low 78°·Rain 52%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Heavy showers
Today 89°·Low 76°·Rain 52%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 78°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Homestead and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
88° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy showers
85° 76°
models agree
Mon
Showers
86° 76°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
90° 77°
±10°
Wed
Drizzle
90° 78°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
89° 79°
±4°
Fri
Thunderstorm
90° 78°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
89° 78°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
88° 79°
±11°
Mon
Thunderstorm
89° 79°
models agree
Tue
Showers
89° 78°
models agree
Wed
Thunderstorm
91° 77°
±5°
Thu
Thunderstorm
91° 77°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
89° 78°
±7°

Homestead, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 62°F), with roughly 68 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Homestead right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Homestead climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
77°
63°
Feb
79°
62°
Mar
82°
67°
Apr
83°
68°
May
89°
72°
Jun
86°
74°
Jul
90°
77°
Aug
89°
78°
Sep
88°
76°
Oct
84°
73°
Nov
82°
69°
Dec
77°
64°

Which forecast is most accurate in Homestead?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
52
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F91±2.9 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°87° to 89°±46%52% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°83° to 86°±49%46% to 95% chance
Mon±4°84° to 88°±8%76% to 84% chance
Tue±10°86° to 95°±18%76% to 94% chance
Wed±3°89° to 93°±46%24% to 70% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Homestead

today, local time
Sunrise
07:04
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Homestead today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Homestead today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Homestead today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Homestead and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Homestead?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Homestead (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 52. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Homestead?
July is typically the warmest month in Homestead, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Homestead get?
The coldest month in Homestead is February, when overnight lows average about 62°F.
How much rain does Homestead get?
Homestead sees roughly 68 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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