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Florida City weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mainly clear
Feels 74° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Clear
Feels 73° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 83%
EuropeanECMWF
69°
Overcast
Feels 70° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 83%

Latest for Florida City: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 72° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 70° Clear · European (ECMWF): 69° Overcast.

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Florida City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Florida City…

Florida City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Florida City swings 28°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 60°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 60 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 325 days a year at 77°F or above, 144 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 188 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
60°F average low
Wettest month
August
60 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
325 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
188 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Florida City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Florida City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Florida City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Florida City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Florida City, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 60°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Florida City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Florida City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
75°
60°
Feb
77°
60°
Mar
80°
64°
Apr
83°
67°
May
87°
70°
Jun
86°
73°
Jul
88°
75°
Aug
87°
76°
Sep
86°
74°
Oct
83°
72°
Nov
80°
67°
Dec
77°
64°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Florida City has changed since 1995

Florida City sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Homestead. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Homestead page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Florida City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Florida City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Florida City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Florida City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Florida City?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Florida City forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Florida City?
July is typically the warmest month in Florida City, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Florida City get?
The coldest month in Florida City is January, when overnight lows average about 60°F.
How much rain does Florida City get?
Florida City sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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