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CheckWeather USBoca Raton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Boca Raton weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in Boca Raton today. Tomorrow looks showers around 88°, with a 82% chance of rain.

89°78°
88°76°
88°76°
89°78°
89°80°
88°81°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Showers
Today 89°·Low 80°·Rain 62%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Showers
Today 90°·Low 76°·Rain 62%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 77°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Boca Raton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
89° 78°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
88° 76°
models agree
Mon
Thunderstorm
88° 76°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
89° 78°
±8°
Wed
Thunderstorm
89° 80°
models agree
Thu
Thunderstorm
88° 81°
models agree
Fri
Thunderstorm
89° 80°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
88° 80°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
87° 82°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
89° 80°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
88° 79°
models agree
Wed
Thunderstorm
89° 79°
models agree
Thu
Thunderstorm
84° 79°
±11°
Fri
Thunderstorm
88° 78°
models agree

Boca Raton, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 63°F), with roughly 81 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Boca Raton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Boca Raton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
76°
63°
Feb
77°
63°
Mar
80°
67°
Apr
81°
69°
May
85°
72°
Jun
86°
74°
Jul
88°
77°
Aug
88°
77°
Sep
87°
76°
Oct
83°
73°
Nov
80°
69°
Dec
76°
64°

Which forecast is most accurate in Boca Raton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
81±1.9°F92±2.4 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
56
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F85±4.6 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°87° to 90°±36%62% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°86° to 90°±57%25% to 82% chance
Mon±3°87° to 90°±19%71% to 90% chance
Tue±8°85° to 93°±21%73% to 94% chance
Wedmodels agree89° to 89°±40%35% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Boca Raton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:35
Daylight
12h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Boca Raton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Boca Raton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Boca Raton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Boca Raton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Boca Raton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Boca Raton (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 56. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Boca Raton?
July is typically the warmest month in Boca Raton, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Boca Raton get?
The coldest month in Boca Raton is January, when overnight lows average about 63°F.
How much rain does Boca Raton get?
Boca Raton sees roughly 81 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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