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CheckWeather USWellington
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Wellington weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 88° in Wellington today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 89°, with a 82% chance of rain.

88°77°
89°75°
87°75°
89°76°
91°78°
90°79°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Showers
Today 89°·Low 78°·Rain 50%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Showers
Today 87°·Low 75°·Rain 50%
EuropeanECMWF
87°
Thunderstorm
Today 87°·Low 77°·Rain 84%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wellington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
88° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
89° 75°
models agree
Mon
Thunderstorm
87° 75°
models agree
Tue
Showers
89° 76°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
91° 78°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
90° 79°
±7°
Fri
Thunderstorm
91° 78°
±5°
Sat
Thunderstorm
90° 77°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
90° 79°
±11°
Mon
Thunderstorm
91° 79°
±7°
Tue
Showers
89° 78°
±6°
Wed
Thunderstorm
91° 77°
±7°
Thu
Thunderstorm
88° 76°
±10°
Fri
Thunderstorm
90° 75°
±7°

Wellington, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 60°F), with roughly 68 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wellington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wellington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
75°
60°
Feb
78°
61°
Mar
82°
65°
Apr
83°
66°
May
88°
70°
Jun
87°
73°
Jul
90°
75°
Aug
89°
76°
Sep
88°
74°
Oct
83°
71°
Nov
80°
67°
Dec
75°
62°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wellington?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
50
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F89±3.5 mph042% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°87° to 89°±34%50% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±2°88° to 90°±57%25% to 82% chance
Mon±3°86° to 89°±3%83% to 86% chance
Tue±8°86° to 94°±10%88% to 98% chance
Wed±7°88° to 95°±23%59% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wellington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:02
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wellington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wellington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wellington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wellington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wellington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wellington (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 50. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wellington?
July is typically the warmest month in Wellington, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Wellington get?
The coldest month in Wellington is January, when overnight lows average about 60°F.
How much rain does Wellington get?
Wellington sees roughly 68 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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