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CheckWeather US›Florida›Wellington
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Wellington weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Wellington today. Tomorrow: showers, around 80°, with a 93% chance of rain.

81°68°
80°69°
82°72°
82°73°
83°72°
82°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Mostly clear
Today 81°·Low 69°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 67°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 68°·Rain 33%
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Wellington weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Wellington…

Wellington weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Wellington swings 30°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 58°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 62 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 302 days a year at 77°F or above, 125 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 191 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
58°F average low
Wettest month
June
62 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, November and December
Residents
63,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
302 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
191 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Wellington’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wellington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wellington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wellington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
81° 68°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
80° 69°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 72°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 73°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
83° 72°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
82° 73°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
83° 74°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 74°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 73°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 71°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
83° 70°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
84° 68°
models agree
Thu
Clear
82° 69°
models agree

Wellington, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 58°F), with roughly 62 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wellington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wellington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
73°
58°
Feb
76°
59°
Mar
79°
62°
Apr
82°
65°
May
86°
68°
Jun
86°
72°
Jul
88°
73°
Aug
87°
74°
Sep
86°
72°
Oct
82°
70°
Nov
78°
65°
Dec
74°
61°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Wellington has changed since 1995

Wellington sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Coral Springs. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Coral Springs page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wellington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F92±2.6 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°81° to 82°±28%5% to 33% chance
Tomorrow±2°79° to 81°±22%71% to 93% chance
Mon±1°81° to 82°±19%55% to 74% chance
Tue±3°81° to 83°±28%37% to 65% chance
Wed±2°82° to 84°±22%30% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wellington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
18:44
Daylight
11h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wellington today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Wellington today. Tomorrow: showers, around 80°, with a 93% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wellington today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Wellington on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 71% (NWS 71%, American 71%, European 93%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 33%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wellington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wellington (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wellington?
July is typically the warmest month in Wellington, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Wellington get?
The coldest month in Wellington is January, when overnight lows average about 58°F.
How much rain does Wellington get?
Wellington sees roughly 62 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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