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Merritt Island weather

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Merritt Island weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Merritt Island weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Merritt Island swings 32°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 55°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 259 days a year at 77°F or above, 79 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 168 days.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
55°F average low
Wettest month
August
49 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
35,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
259 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
168 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Merritt Island’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Merritt Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Merritt Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Merritt Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Merritt Island, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Merritt Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Merritt Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
70°
55°
Feb
72°
56°
Mar
76°
60°
Apr
78°
64°
May
83°
69°
Jun
85°
72°
Jul
87°
74°
Aug
87°
75°
Sep
84°
73°
Oct
81°
71°
Nov
75°
63°
Dec
71°
59°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Merritt Island has changed since 1995

Merritt Island sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Titusville. That square ran 1.2°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Titusville page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Merritt Island?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F93±2.3 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Merritt Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Merritt Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Merritt Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Merritt Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Merritt Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Merritt Island (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Merritt Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Merritt Island, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Merritt Island get?
The coldest month in Merritt Island is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does Merritt Island get?
Merritt Island sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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