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CheckWeather USTallahassee
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Tallahassee weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Tallahassee today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 93°, with a 80% chance of rain.

90°74°
93°75°
87°74°
88°73°
88°73°
89°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Drizzle
Today 88°·Low 75°·Rain 38%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Fog
Today 92°·Low 75°·Rain 38%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Thunderstorm
Today 90°·Low 74°·Rain 97%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tallahassee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
90° 74°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
93° 75°
models agree
Mon
Showers
87° 74°
±9°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
88° 73°
models agree
Wed
Thunderstorm
88° 73°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
89° 73°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
89° 73°
±7°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
91° 73°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 74°
±12°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 74°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
89° 73°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
84° 72°
±10°
Thu
Thunderstorm
85° 70°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
90° 68°
±8°

Tallahassee, FL is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tallahassee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tallahassee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
64°
46°
Feb
69°
50°
Mar
74°
55°
Apr
79°
58°
May
86°
66°
Jun
91°
71°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
92°
75°
Sep
86°
70°
Oct
80°
60°
Nov
73°
55°
Dec
64°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tallahassee?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.2 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
62
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F92±2.5 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°88° to 92°±59%38% to 97% chance
Tomorrow±2°92° to 94°±60%20% to 80% chance
Mon±9°82° to 91°±17%72% to 89% chance
Tue±4°86° to 90°±23%59% to 82% chance
Wed±2°87° to 89°±26%62% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tallahassee

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:55
Daylight
12h 39m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tallahassee today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tallahassee today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tallahassee today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tallahassee and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tallahassee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tallahassee (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tallahassee?
August is typically the warmest month in Tallahassee, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Tallahassee get?
The coldest month in Tallahassee is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Tallahassee get?
Tallahassee sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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