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CheckWeather USBrandon
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Brandon weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 91° in Brandon today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 90°, with a 83% chance of rain.

91°76°
90°76°
87°76°
90°75°
91°75°
90°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
91°
Showers
Today 91°·Low 76°·Rain 15%
AmericanNOAA GFS
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 78°·Rain 15%
EuropeanECMWF
91°
Thunderstorm
Today 91°·Low 76°·Rain 92%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Brandon and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
91° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
90° 76°
models agree
Mon
Showers
87° 76°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
90° 75°
±6°
Wed
Thunderstorm
91° 75°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
90° 75°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
90° 76°
±7°
Sat
Thunderstorm
90° 76°
±9°
Sun
Drizzle
92° 76°
±6°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 76°
±7°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
89° 76°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
91° 75°
±5°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
88° 75°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
86° 72°
±4°

Brandon, FL is at its warmest in May (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 52°F), with roughly 57 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Brandon right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Brandon climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
71°
52°
Feb
76°
55°
Mar
81°
60°
Apr
85°
63°
May
91°
69°
Jun
90°
73°
Jul
91°
75°
Aug
91°
75°
Sep
89°
73°
Oct
83°
66°
Nov
79°
61°
Dec
72°
55°

Which forecast is most accurate in Brandon?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
57
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F90±3.0 mph548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°90° to 91°±77%15% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±1°89° to 90°±64%19% to 83% chance
Mon±3°86° to 88°±32%62% to 94% chance
Tue±6°88° to 94°±4%84% to 88% chance
Wed±6°89° to 94°±10%78% to 88% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brandon

today, local time
Sunrise
07:09
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brandon today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Brandon today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brandon today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Brandon and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brandon?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brandon (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 57. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brandon?
May is typically the warmest month in Brandon, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Brandon get?
The coldest month in Brandon is January, when overnight lows average about 52°F.
How much rain does Brandon get?
Brandon sees roughly 57 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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