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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Apopka weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Apopka today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 80°, with a 57% chance of rain.

79°61°
80°66°
80°67°
80°65°
80°65°
80°67°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
79°
Drizzle
Today 79°·Low 61°·Rain 18%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 60°·Rain 18%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Light drizzle
Today 80°·Low 61°·Rain 74%
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Apopka weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Apopka…

Apopka weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Apopka swings 38°F across the year, from 88°F highs in August to 50°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 270 days a year at 77°F or above, 126 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 171 days.

Warmest month
August
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
50°F average low
Wettest month
June
54 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
48,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
270 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
171 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Apopka’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Apopka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Apopka hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Apopka 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
79° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
80° 66°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
80° 67°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
80° 65°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
80° 65°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
80° 67°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
80° 66°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 64°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
80° 65°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
81° 65°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 65°
±5°
Wed
Clear
77° 61°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
80° 60°
models agree

Apopka, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Apopka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Apopka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
68°
50°
Feb
72°
52°
Mar
76°
56°
Apr
81°
61°
May
86°
67°
Jun
87°
71°
Jul
87°
72°
Aug
88°
73°
Sep
85°
71°
Oct
82°
67°
Nov
75°
59°
Dec
70°
54°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Apopka has changed since 1995

Apopka sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Orlando. That square ran 1.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Orlando page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Apopka?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
55
/100rank #2
59±4.1°F92±2.4 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°79° to 80°±56%18% to 74% chance
Tomorrow±1°79° to 80°±25%32% to 57% chance
Mon±3°79° to 81°±41%6% to 47% chance
Tue±2°79° to 81°±15%2% to 17% chance
Wed±3°78° to 81°±32%7% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Apopka

today, local time
Sunrise
07:32
Sunset
18:47
Daylight
11h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Apopka today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Apopka today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 80°, with a 57% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Apopka today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Apopka on Sunday, October 25: NWS 32%, American 32%, European 57%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 74%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Apopka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Apopka (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 55. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Apopka?
August is typically the warmest month in Apopka, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Apopka get?
The coldest month in Apopka is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does Apopka get?
Apopka sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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