Fleming Island weather
Loading live data…Latest for Fleming Island: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 68° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 64° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 65° Light drizzle.
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active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fleming Island…
Fleming Island weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherFleming Island swings 41°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 48°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 56 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 231 days a year at 77°F or above, 100 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fleming Island’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Fleming Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Fleming Island hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Fleming Island 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitFleming Island, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 48°F), with roughly 56 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fleming Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Fleming Island climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Fleming Island has changed since 1995
Fleming Island sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Lakeside. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Lakeside page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Fleming Island?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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