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CheckWeather USFleming Island

Fleming Island weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Light rain
Feels 89° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Overcast
Feels 85° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 90%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Overcast
Feels 89° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 98%

Latest for Fleming Island: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 78° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 77° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 78° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fleming Island and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Fleming Island, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fleming Island right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fleming Island climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
67°
50°
Feb
71°
53°
Mar
75°
59°
Apr
80°
62°
May
85°
69°
Jun
89°
74°
Jul
91°
77°
Aug
90°
77°
Sep
85°
73°
Oct
79°
66°
Nov
73°
60°
Dec
67°
53°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fleming Island?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F95±1.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F91±2.7 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Fleming Island today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fleming Island today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fleming Island today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fleming Island and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fleming Island?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fleming Island (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fleming Island?
July is typically the warmest month in Fleming Island, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Fleming Island get?
The coldest month in Fleming Island is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does Fleming Island get?
Fleming Island sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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