Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather US›Florida›Middleburg

Middleburg weather

Loading live data…

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Mainly clear
Feels 58° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Mainly clear
Feels 57° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 80%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Light drizzle
Feels 62° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Middleburg: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 61° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 64° Light drizzle.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Middleburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Middleburg…

Middleburg weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Middleburg swings 44°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 46°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 59 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 242 days a year at 77°F or above, 119 of them at 86°F or above, 3 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
January
46°F average low
Wettest month
August
59 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and October
Residents
13,000
share this forecast
Warm days
242 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
3 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
147 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Middleburg’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Middleburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Middleburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Middleburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Middleburg, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 59 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Middleburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Middleburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
65°
46°
Feb
68°
47°
Mar
72°
52°
Apr
79°
58°
May
84°
65°
Jun
88°
70°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
89°
73°
Sep
85°
71°
Oct
78°
63°
Nov
71°
54°
Dec
66°
50°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Middleburg has changed since 1995

Middleburg sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Lakeside. That square ran 1.7°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Lakeside page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Middleburg today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Middleburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Middleburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Middleburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Middleburg?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Middleburg forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Middleburg?
July is typically the warmest month in Middleburg, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Middleburg get?
The coldest month in Middleburg is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Middleburg get?
Middleburg sees roughly 59 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather