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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Fort Myers weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Fort Myers today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 83°, with a 76% chance of rain.

82°64°
83°67°
84°69°
83°69°
84°68°
85°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Clear
Feels 69° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 85%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Clear
Feels 68° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
68°
Clear
Feels 68° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 78%

Latest for Fort Myers: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 69° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 69° Clear · European (ECMWF): 68° Clear.

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Fort Myers weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fort Myers…

Fort Myers weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fort Myers swings 34°F across the year, from 89°F highs in May to 55°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 310 days a year at 77°F or above, 169 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 163 days.

Warmest month
May
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
55°F average low
Wettest month
June
53 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
74,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
310 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
163 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fort Myers’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fort Myers and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fort Myers hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fort Myers 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
82° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
83° 67°
±5°
Mon
Mostly clear
84° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
83° 69°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
84° 68°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
85° 70°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 69°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
85° 68°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
84° 69°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
84° 67°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
85° 67°
models agree
Wed
Clear
82° 66°
models agree
Thu
Clear
81° 67°
models agree

Fort Myers, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in May (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 55°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fort Myers right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fort Myers climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
72°
55°
Feb
76°
56°
Mar
79°
59°
Apr
83°
63°
May
89°
69°
Jun
88°
73°
Jul
89°
73°
Aug
89°
74°
Sep
88°
72°
Oct
85°
69°
Nov
80°
62°
Dec
76°
58°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fort Myers has changed since 1995

Fort Myers sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Cape Coral. That square ran 1.4°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Cape Coral page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fort Myers?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
60
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F95±1.7 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 84°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±5°81° to 86°±54%22% to 76% chance
Mon±1°83° to 84°±51%2% to 53% chance
Tue±1°83° to 84°±33%7% to 40% chance
Wed±3°83° to 85°±38%9% to 47% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fort Myers

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:50
Daylight
11h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fort Myers today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Fort Myers today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 83°, with a 76% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fort Myers today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Fort Myers on Sunday, October 25: NWS 22%, American 22%, European 76%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fort Myers?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fort Myers (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fort Myers?
May is typically the warmest month in Fort Myers, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Fort Myers get?
The coldest month in Fort Myers is January, when overnight lows average about 55°F.
How much rain does Fort Myers get?
Fort Myers sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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