Jacksonville weather
Loading live data…Showers,thunder likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model put Jacksonville's high today between 86° and 90°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks thunderstorm around 91°, with a 98% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Jacksonville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitJacksonville, FL. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Jacksonville right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Jacksonville's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Jacksonville weather by month
what to expect in Jacksonville through the yearHere is Jacksonville's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Jacksonville by season.
What Jacksonville's weather is like through the year
Jacksonville runs from warm summers, with July highs near 91°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 48°F (a swing of about 43°F across the year). September is usually the wettest month, and Jacksonville sees roughly 49 inches of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Jacksonville
The most comfortable time to visit Jacksonville is usually January, February, March and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Jacksonville?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Jacksonville, scoring 84/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 51. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.