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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Fountainebleau weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Fountainebleau today. Tomorrow: showers, around 80°, with a 94% chance of rain.

82°69°
80°68°
81°73°
83°74°
82°75°
83°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Mainly clear
Feels 77° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Overcast
Feels 76° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 79%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Overcast
Feels 74° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 80%

Latest for Fountainebleau: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 75° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 73° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 72° Overcast.

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Fountainebleau weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fountainebleau…

Fountainebleau weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Fountainebleau swings 29°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 59°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 60 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 319 days a year at 77°F or above, 137 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 190 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
59°F average low
Wettest month
September
60 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
60,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
88/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
319 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
190 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Fountainebleau’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fountainebleau and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fountainebleau hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fountainebleau 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
82° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
80° 68°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
81° 73°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
83° 74°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
82° 75°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
83° 75°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
84° 75°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
83° 75°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
83° 76°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
84° 74°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
84° 73°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
84° 73°
models agree
Thu
Clear
85° 73°
models agree

Fountainebleau, Florida (FL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 59°F), with roughly 60 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fountainebleau right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fountainebleau climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
74°
59°
Feb
77°
59°
Mar
80°
63°
Apr
83°
66°
May
87°
69°
Jun
86°
73°
Jul
88°
74°
Aug
87°
75°
Sep
86°
73°
Oct
83°
71°
Nov
80°
66°
Dec
76°
63°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fountainebleau has changed since 1995

Fountainebleau sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Doral. That square ran 1.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Doral page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fountainebleau?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
56
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°81° to 84°±19%34% to 53% chance
Tomorrow±3°79° to 82°±36%58% to 94% chance
Mon±2°80° to 82°±27%51% to 78% chance
Tue±5°80° to 86°±48%27% to 75% chance
Wed±1°82° to 83°±32%23% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fountainebleau

today, local time
Sunrise
07:25
Sunset
18:45
Daylight
11h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fountainebleau today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Fountainebleau today. Tomorrow: showers, around 80°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fountainebleau today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Fountainebleau on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 58% (NWS 58%, American 58%, European 94%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 53%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fountainebleau?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fountainebleau (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 56. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fountainebleau?
July is typically the warmest month in Fountainebleau, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Fountainebleau get?
The coldest month in Fountainebleau is January, when overnight lows average about 59°F.
How much rain does Fountainebleau get?
Fountainebleau sees roughly 60 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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