Arizona weather today
We follow 105 towns and cities in Arizona, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 71°F in Flagstaff and 100°F in Yuma, and no model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in any of the 33 places we hold today's forecast for.
Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.
Weather in Arizona's largest cities today
consensus of NWS, American, European, forecast run of Saturday, October 3Rain chance is the highest of the three models. "Models agree" compares their forecast highs, the same confidence rule as on every city page.
Arizona weather alerts and warnings
active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisoriesChecking the National Weather Service for active alerts in Arizona…
Today across Arizona
from the latest model run, Saturday, October 3- Prescott, AZ53.7°F
- Sierra Vista, AZ57.4°F
- Oro Valley, AZ64.7°F
- San Tan Valley, AZ71.3°F
Warmest and coldest use the average of NWS, American, European. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the state.
The past week across Arizona
analysed, the seven days September 22 to September 28- Grand Canyon Village, AZ69% sun
- Chino Valley, AZ68% sun
- Flagstaff, AZ68% sun
- Holbrook, AZ65% sun
Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Best week" is the sunniest week among places with an average high of 60-78°F. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.
Which forecast is most accurate in Arizona?
Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 43 Arizona cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 41, the American in 2 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.
How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.
Arizona climate, city by city
Across the 70 Arizona places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 87°F in Flagstaff to 113°F in Lake Havasu City, and January highs from 34°F in Grand Canyon Village to 68°F in Yuma. Flagstaff is the wettest at about 18 in of precipitation a year, Yuma the driest at about 3 in.
Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.
All 105 places in Arizona
every town and city we cover, A to Z- Ahwatukee Foothills
- Alhambra
- Anthem
- Apache Junction
- Arizona City
- Avondale
- Avra Valley
- Big Park
- Bisbee
- Buckeye
- Bullhead City
- Camp Verde
- Casa Grande
- Casas Adobes
- Catalina
- Catalina Foothills
- Cave Creek
- Central City
- Chandler
- Chino Valley
- Coolidge
- Corona de Tucson
- Cottonwood
- Deer Valley
- Douglas
- Drexel Heights
- El Mirage
- Eloy
- Encanto
- Flagstaff
- Florence
- Flowing Wells
- Fortuna Foothills
- Fountain Hills
- Gilbert
- Glendale
- Globe
- Gold Camp
- Gold Canyon
- Golden Valley
- Goodyear
- Grand Canyon Village
- Green Valley
- Guadalupe
- Holbrook
- Kayenta
- Kingman
- Lake Havasu City
- Laveen
- Litchfield Park
- Marana
- Maricopa
- Maryvale
- Mesa
- New Kingman-Butler
- New River
- Nogales
- Oro Valley
- Page
- Paradise Valley
- Paulden
- Payson
- Peoria
- Phoenix
- Picture Rocks
- Prescott
- Prescott Valley
- Queen Creek
- Rio Rico
- Saddlebrooke
- Safford
- Sahuarita
- San Luis
- San Tan Valley
- Scottsdale
- Sedona
- Show Low
- Sierra Vista
- Sierra Vista Southeast
- Snowflake
- Somerton
- South Tucson
- Summit
- Sun City
- Sun City West
- Sun Lakes
- Surprise
- Tanque Verde
- Tempe
- Tempe Junction
- Three Points
- Tolleson
- Tuba City
- Tucson
- Tucson Estates
- Vail
- Valencia West
- Verde Village
- Village of Oak Creek (Big Park)
- West Sedona
- Wickenburg
- Williamson
- Winslow
- Youngtown
- Yuma