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San Luis weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Overcast
Feels 64° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 68%
AmericanNOAA GFS
66°
Overcast
Feels 64° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
65°
Mainly clear
Feels 62° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 61%

Latest for San Luis: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 66° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 66° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 65° Mainly clear.

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San Luis weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering San Luis…

San Luis weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

San Luis swings 63°F across the year, from 107°F highs in July to 44°F lows in December, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 3 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 261 days a year at 77°F or above, 206 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 14 days.

Warmest month
July
107°F average high
Coldest month
December
44°F average low
Wettest month
December
3 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
32,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
99/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
261 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
14 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for San Luis’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Luis and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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San Luis hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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San Luis 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

San Luis, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 107°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 44°F), with roughly 3 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Luis right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Luis climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
67°
46°
Feb
73°
50°
Mar
78°
55°
Apr
86°
58°
May
94°
67°
Jun
104°
76°
Jul
107°
81°
Aug
107°
83°
Sep
103°
78°
Oct
89°
62°
Nov
76°
53°
Dec
67°
44°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How San Luis' weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°F

Around San Luis, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2014.

1995: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: −2.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2007: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2014: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2023: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

8 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −17 vs the 30-year average1996: +8 vs the 30-year average1997: +3 vs the 30-year average1998: −35 vs the 30-year average1999: −0 vs the 30-year average2000: +6 vs the 30-year average2001: +18 vs the 30-year average2002: −6 vs the 30-year average2003: +2 vs the 30-year average2004: +4 vs the 30-year average2005: −12 vs the 30-year average2006: −8 vs the 30-year average2007: −10 vs the 30-year average2008: −0 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −10 vs the 30-year average2011: −3 vs the 30-year average2012: +11 vs the 30-year average2013: −6 vs the 30-year average2014: +10 vs the 30-year average2015: −7 vs the 30-year average2016: +2 vs the 30-year average2017: +18 vs the 30-year average2018: +3 vs the 30-year average2019: −12 vs the 30-year average2020: +23 vs the 30-year average2021: +4 vs the 30-year average2022: +14 vs the 30-year average2023: +2 vs the 30-year average2024: +17 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +0% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: +0% vs the 30-year average1998: +0% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +0% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +0% vs the 30-year average2003: +0% vs the 30-year average2004: +0% vs the 30-year average2005: +0% vs the 30-year average2006: +0% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: −3% vs the 30-year average2011: +0% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: −3% vs the 30-year average2014: +0% vs the 30-year average2015: +0% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: +0% vs the 30-year average2020: −3% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: +0% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.4°F−17+0%
1996+0.4°F+8+3%
1997−0.7°F+3+0%
1998−2.7°F−35+0%
1999−1.1°F−0+3%
2000±0.0°F+6+0%
2001±0.0°F+18−3%
2002−0.4°F−6+0%
2003+0.2°F+2+0%
2004−0.9°F+4+0%
2005−0.7°F−12+0%
2006−0.5°F−8+0%
2007−1.1°F−10+3%
2008−0.2°F−0+3%
2009−0.5°F−6+0%
2010−1.6°F−10−3%
2011−1.3°F−3+0%
2012+0.5°F+11−3%
2013−0.7°F−6−3%
2014+2.0°F+10+0%
2015+1.4°F−7+0%
2016+1.4°F+2+3%
2017+1.8°F+18+3%
2018+1.3°F+3−3%
2019−0.7°F−12+0%
2020+1.3°F+23−3%
2021+1.4°F+4+0%
2022+0.9°F+14+3%
2023−0.5°F+2+0%
2024+1.4°F+17−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around San Luis, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in San Luis?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
99±0.1°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F93±2.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in San Luis today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Luis today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Luis today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Luis and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Luis?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for San Luis (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Luis?
July is typically the warmest month in San Luis, with average highs around 107°F.
How cold does San Luis get?
The coldest month in San Luis is December, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does San Luis get?
San Luis sees roughly 3 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is San Luis getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around San Luis, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004.

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