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CheckWeather USYuma
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Yuma weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Yuma today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 104°, with a 5% chance of rain.

100°82°
104°84°
106°82°
109°86°
105°87°
108°86°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 83°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
103°
Cloudy
Today 103°·Low 81°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Light drizzle
Today 99°·Low 83°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Yuma and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
100° 82°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
104° 84°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
106° 82°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
109° 86°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
105° 87°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
108° 86°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
105° 87°
models agree
Sat
Clear
103° 85°
±5°
Sun
Clear
102° 81°
models agree
Mon
Clear
102° 80°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
101° 83°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
101° 85°
±8°
Thu
Showers
99° 82°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
100° 83°
±5°

Yuma, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 113°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 3 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Yuma right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Yuma climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
68°
46°
Feb
71°
48°
Mar
77°
53°
Apr
88°
59°
May
95°
66°
Jun
104°
74°
Jul
113°
84°
Aug
109°
84°
Sep
103°
76°
Oct
95°
66°
Nov
77°
54°
Dec
73°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Yuma?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F96±1.2 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F94±1.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°99° to 103°±46%13% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±3°102° to 105°±3%2% to 5% chance
Mon±2°105° to 107°±1%2% to 3% chance
Tue±5°106° to 111°models agree6% to 6% chance
Wed±7°102° to 109°±3%26% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Yuma

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
18:58
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Yuma today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Yuma today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Yuma today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Yuma and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Yuma?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Yuma (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Yuma?
July is typically the warmest month in Yuma, with average highs around 113°F.
How cold does Yuma get?
The coldest month in Yuma is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does Yuma get?
Yuma sees roughly 3 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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