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CheckWeather USEl Centro
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

El Centro weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 101° in El Centro today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 100°, with a 29% chance of rain.

101°79°
100°85°
105°82°
109°87°
107°89°
111°89°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 83°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
103°
Cloudy
Today 103°·Low 74°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
101°
Light drizzle
Today 101°·Low 81°·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around El Centro and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
101° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
100° 85°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
105° 82°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
109° 87°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
107° 89°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
111° 89°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
109° 89°
±7°
Sat
Clear
106° 86°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
103° 81°
models agree
Mon
Clear
104° 81°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
103° 85°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
103° 88°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
100° 86°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
103° 84°
±6°

El Centro, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 115°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 46°F), with roughly 3 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for El Centro right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

El Centro climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
68°
46°
Feb
72°
48°
Mar
77°
54°
Apr
89°
60°
May
96°
67°
Jun
105°
76°
Jul
115°
86°
Aug
110°
84°
Sep
104°
76°
Oct
96°
66°
Nov
78°
53°
Dec
73°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in El Centro?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F94±1.9 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F94±1.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°99° to 103°±31%6% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±3°99° to 101°±23%6% to 29% chance
Mon±4°103° to 107°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±6°105° to 111°±3%4% to 7% chance
Wed±7°103° to 110°±1%23% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in El Centro

today, local time
Sunrise
06:19
Sunset
19:01
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in El Centro today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for El Centro today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in El Centro today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for El Centro and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for El Centro?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for El Centro (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in El Centro?
July is typically the warmest month in El Centro, with average highs around 115°F.
How cold does El Centro get?
The coldest month in El Centro is January, when overnight lows average about 46°F.
How much rain does El Centro get?
El Centro sees roughly 3 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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