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CheckWeather USCasas Adobes
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Casas Adobes weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Casas Adobes today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 99°, with a 8% chance of rain.

98°76°
99°78°
99°77°
101°81°
99°82°
99°81°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Partly cloudy
Today 98°·Low 75°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Cloudy
Today 98°·Low 78°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Cloudy
Today 97°·Low 76°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Casas Adobes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
98° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
99° 78°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
99° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
101° 81°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
99° 82°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
99° 81°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
94° 79°
±5°
Sat
Drizzle
91° 77°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
91° 76°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 78°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 76°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
94° 80°
±7°
Thu
Drizzle
92° 75°
models agree
Fri
Showers
92° 76°
models agree

Casas Adobes, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 103°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Casas Adobes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Casas Adobes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
39°
Feb
64°
42°
Mar
68°
46°
Apr
82°
53°
May
90°
63°
Jun
99°
73°
Jul
103°
80°
Aug
99°
77°
Sep
97°
73°
Oct
89°
64°
Nov
72°
50°
Dec
69°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Casas Adobes?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
71±2.9°F80±6.2 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°97° to 98°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±2°98° to 100°models agree8% to 8% chance
Mon±2°98° to 99°±15%14% to 29% chance
Tue±4°100° to 103°models agree16% to 16% chance
Wed±3°98° to 101°±20%36% to 56% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Casas Adobes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:01
Sunset
18:43
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Casas Adobes today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Casas Adobes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Casas Adobes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Casas Adobes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Casas Adobes?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Casas Adobes (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Casas Adobes?
July is typically the warmest month in Casas Adobes, with average highs around 103°F.
How cold does Casas Adobes get?
The coldest month in Casas Adobes is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Casas Adobes get?
Casas Adobes sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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