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CheckWeather USFlorence

Florence weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Florence and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Florence, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 109°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 9 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Florence right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Florence climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
42°
Feb
67°
45°
Mar
72°
48°
Apr
85°
56°
May
93°
67°
Jun
103°
76°
Jul
109°
86°
Aug
105°
83°
Sep
102°
76°
Oct
93°
66°
Nov
75°
51°
Dec
71°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Florence?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F92±2.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F89±3.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Florence today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Florence today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Florence today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Florence and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Florence?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Florence (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Florence?
July is typically the warmest month in Florence, with average highs around 109°F.
How cold does Florence get?
The coldest month in Florence is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Florence get?
Florence sees roughly 9 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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