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CheckWeather US›Arizona›Queen Creek

Queen Creek weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
56°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 65%
EuropeanECMWF
58°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 72%

Latest for Queen Creek: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 56° Clear · European (ECMWF): 58° Clear.

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Queen Creek weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Queen Creek…

Queen Creek weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Queen Creek swings 66°F across the year, from 105°F highs in July to 39°F lows in December, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 9 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 245 days a year at 77°F or above, 188 of them at 86°F or above, 2 frost nights, and rain on 35 days.

Warmest month
July
105°F average high
Coldest month
December
39°F average low
Wettest month
August
9 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
35,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
245 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
2 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
35 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Queen Creek’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Queen Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Queen Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Queen Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Queen Creek, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 105°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 39°F), with roughly 9 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Queen Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Queen Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
63°
42°
Feb
68°
46°
Mar
74°
51°
Apr
83°
55°
May
93°
67°
Jun
103°
75°
Jul
105°
80°
Aug
102°
79°
Sep
98°
73°
Oct
88°
61°
Nov
74°
49°
Dec
64°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Queen Creek has changed since 1995

Queen Creek sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Casa Grande. That square ran 1.5°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Casa Grande page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Queen Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F93±2.2 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F90±3.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Queen Creek today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Queen Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Queen Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Queen Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Queen Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Queen Creek (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Queen Creek?
July is typically the warmest month in Queen Creek, with average highs around 105°F.
How cold does Queen Creek get?
The coldest month in Queen Creek is December, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Queen Creek get?
Queen Creek sees roughly 9 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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