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CheckWeather USSan Tan Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

San Tan Valley weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in San Tan Valley today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 103°, with a 4% chance of rain.

100°79°
103°79°
103°81°
105°84°
103°85°
103°84°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Partly cloudy
Today 100°·Low 79°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
100°
Mostly clear
Today 100°·Low 76°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
100°
Cloudy
Today 100°·Low 81°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around San Tan Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
100° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
103° 79°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
103° 81°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
105° 84°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
103° 85°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
103° 84°
±5°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
100° 82°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
95° 78°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
94° 79°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
96° 80°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
98° 79°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
97° 81°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
96° 78°
models agree
Fri
Showers
95° 74°
models agree

San Tan Valley, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 109°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 11 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for San Tan Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

San Tan Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
41°
Feb
65°
44°
Mar
70°
47°
Apr
84°
55°
May
93°
66°
Jun
102°
75°
Jul
109°
85°
Aug
104°
82°
Sep
101°
76°
Oct
92°
65°
Nov
74°
50°
Dec
70°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in San Tan Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F95±1.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F88±3.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree100° to 100°±6%2% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±1°102° to 103°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±3°102° to 105°±4%2% to 6% chance
Tue±4°103° to 107°±5%4% to 9% chance
Wed±1°102° to 103°models agree19% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in San Tan Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:03
Sunset
18:46
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in San Tan Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for San Tan Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in San Tan Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for San Tan Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for San Tan Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for San Tan Valley (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in San Tan Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in San Tan Valley, with average highs around 109°F.
How cold does San Tan Valley get?
The coldest month in San Tan Valley is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does San Tan Valley get?
San Tan Valley sees roughly 11 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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