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CheckWeather USTempe Junction
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Tempe Junction weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 101° in Tempe Junction today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 105°, with a 4% chance of rain.

101°85°
105°83°
105°84°
107°89°
104°89°
106°90°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
101°
Partly cloudy
Today 101°·Low 84°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
102°
Partly cloudy
Today 102°·Low 84°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
101°
Partly cloudy
Today 101°·Low 87°·Rain 20%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tempe Junction and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
101° 85°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
105° 83°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
105° 84°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
107° 89°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
104° 89°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
106° 90°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
103° 88°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
98° 83°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 83°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
99° 85°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
101° 86°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
100° 86°
±7°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
98° 83°
models agree
Fri
Showers
97° 81°
models agree

Tempe Junction, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 111°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 8 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tempe Junction right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tempe Junction climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
41°
Feb
67°
45°
Mar
72°
48°
Apr
86°
57°
May
94°
68°
Jun
104°
77°
Jul
111°
87°
Aug
106°
84°
Sep
102°
76°
Oct
93°
66°
Nov
76°
51°
Dec
70°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tempe Junction?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F88±3.7 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°101° to 102°±19%1% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°104° to 105°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±3°104° to 107°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±3°106° to 109°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±2°103° to 106°±3%9% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tempe Junction

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
18:47
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tempe Junction today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tempe Junction today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tempe Junction today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tempe Junction and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tempe Junction?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tempe Junction (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tempe Junction?
July is typically the warmest month in Tempe Junction, with average highs around 111°F.
How cold does Tempe Junction get?
The coldest month in Tempe Junction is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Tempe Junction get?
Tempe Junction sees roughly 8 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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