Phoenix weather
Loading live data…Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 101° in Phoenix today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 105°, with a 4% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Phoenix and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitPhoenix, AZ. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Phoenix right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Phoenix's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Phoenix weather by month
what to expect in Phoenix through the yearHere is Phoenix's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Phoenix by season.
What Phoenix's weather is like through the year
Phoenix runs from warm summers, with July highs near 111°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 40°F (a swing of about 71°F across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Phoenix sees roughly 8 inches of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Phoenix
The most comfortable time to visit Phoenix is usually February, March, November and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Phoenix?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Phoenix, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 73. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.