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CheckWeather USMarana
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Marana weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Marana today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 99°, with a 6% chance of rain.

97°77°
99°77°
100°79°
102°81°
99°82°
100°81°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Partly cloudy
Today 97°·Low 75°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Cloudy
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Cloudy
Today 99°·Low 79°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Marana and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
97° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
99° 77°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
100° 79°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
102° 81°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
99° 82°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
100° 81°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
95° 79°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
92° 76°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
92° 76°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 78°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
93° 75°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 80°
±8°
Thu
Thunderstorm
93° 73°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
92° 75°
models agree

Marana, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 106°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 9 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Marana right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Marana climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
41°
Feb
66°
44°
Mar
70°
47°
Apr
84°
56°
May
92°
65°
Jun
101°
74°
Jul
106°
82°
Aug
102°
80°
Sep
99°
74°
Oct
91°
65°
Nov
74°
49°
Dec
70°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Marana?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F95±1.5 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F89±3.5 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°97° to 99°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°99° to 100°±4%2% to 6% chance
Mon±4°98° to 102°±4%9% to 13% chance
Tue±6°99° to 105°±2%10% to 12% chance
Wed±4°97° to 101°±6%32% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Marana

today, local time
Sunrise
06:02
Sunset
18:44
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Marana today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Marana today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Marana today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Marana and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Marana?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Marana (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Marana?
July is typically the warmest month in Marana, with average highs around 106°F.
How cold does Marana get?
The coldest month in Marana is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Marana get?
Marana sees roughly 9 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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