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CheckWeather US›Arizona›Picture Rocks

Picture Rocks weather

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Picture Rocks weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Picture Rocks weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Picture Rocks swings 62°F across the year, from 100°F highs in June to 38°F lows in December, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 11 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
100°F average high
Coldest month
December
38°F average low
Wettest month
August
11 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
9,563
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Picture Rocks and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Picture Rocks hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Picture Rocks 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Picture Rocks, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 38°F), with roughly 11 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Picture Rocks right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Picture Rocks climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
64°
42°
Feb
67°
44°
Mar
74°
49°
Apr
82°
53°
May
91°
63°
Jun
100°
72°
Jul
100°
76°
Aug
97°
75°
Sep
95°
69°
Oct
85°
57°
Nov
73°
47°
Dec
65°
38°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Picture Rocks has changed since 1995

Picture Rocks sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Casas Adobes. That square ran 1.9°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Casas Adobes page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Picture Rocks today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Picture Rocks today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Picture Rocks today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Picture Rocks and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Picture Rocks?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Picture Rocks forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Picture Rocks?
June is typically the warmest month in Picture Rocks, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Picture Rocks get?
The coldest month in Picture Rocks is December, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Picture Rocks get?
Picture Rocks sees roughly 11 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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