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Valencia West weather

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Valencia West weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Valencia West…

Valencia West weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Valencia West swings 60°F across the year, from 100°F highs in June to 40°F lows in December, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 12 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
100°F average high
Coldest month
December
40°F average low
Wettest month
August
12 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
9,355
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Valencia West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Valencia West hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Valencia West 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Valencia West, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 40°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Valencia West right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Valencia West climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
63°
42°
Feb
66°
44°
Mar
73°
50°
Apr
81°
54°
May
90°
64°
Jun
100°
72°
Jul
98°
74°
Aug
95°
73°
Sep
94°
69°
Oct
84°
58°
Nov
72°
48°
Dec
64°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Valencia West has changed since 1995

Valencia West sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Drexel Heights. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Drexel Heights page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Valencia West today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Valencia West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Valencia West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Valencia West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Valencia West?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Valencia West forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Valencia West?
June is typically the warmest month in Valencia West, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Valencia West get?
The coldest month in Valencia West is December, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Valencia West get?
Valencia West sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

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