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CheckWeather USTolleson

Tolleson weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tolleson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Tolleson, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 111°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 40°F), with roughly 8 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tolleson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tolleson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
40°
Feb
68°
44°
Mar
72°
48°
Apr
86°
57°
May
94°
67°
Jun
104°
76°
Jul
111°
87°
Aug
107°
84°
Sep
102°
75°
Oct
94°
64°
Nov
76°
50°
Dec
70°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Tolleson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tolleson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tolleson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tolleson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tolleson?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Tolleson forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Tolleson?
July is typically the warmest month in Tolleson, with average highs around 111°F.
How cold does Tolleson get?
The coldest month in Tolleson is January, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Tolleson get?
Tolleson sees roughly 8 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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