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Tolleson weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
60°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 58%
AmericanNOAA GFS
58°
Clear
Feels 55° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 65%
EuropeanECMWF
59°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 66%

Latest for Tolleson: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 60° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 58° Clear · European (ECMWF): 59° Clear.

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Tolleson weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Tolleson weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tolleson swings 67°F across the year, from 106°F highs in July to 39°F lows in December, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 9 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
106°F average high
Coldest month
December
39°F average low
Wettest month
August
9 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and November
Residents
7,008
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tolleson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tolleson hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tolleson 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Tolleson, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 106°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 39°F), with roughly 9 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tolleson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tolleson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
65°
42°
Feb
69°
45°
Mar
75°
51°
Apr
85°
56°
May
93°
66°
Jun
104°
76°
Jul
106°
82°
Aug
104°
81°
Sep
100°
73°
Oct
88°
58°
Nov
75°
49°
Dec
64°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Tolleson has changed since 1995

Tolleson sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Peoria. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Peoria page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Tolleson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tolleson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tolleson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tolleson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tolleson?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Tolleson forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Tolleson?
July is typically the warmest month in Tolleson, with average highs around 106°F.
How cold does Tolleson get?
The coldest month in Tolleson is December, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Tolleson get?
Tolleson sees roughly 9 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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