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CheckWeather USAvondale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Avondale weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 102° in Avondale today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 106°, with a 4% chance of rain.

102°84°
106°83°
106°83°
108°87°
105°87°
106°88°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
101°
Partly cloudy
Today 101°·Low 83°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
103°
Cloudy
Today 103°·Low 84°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
102°
Partly cloudy
Today 102°·Low 84°·Rain 19%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Avondale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
102° 84°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
106° 83°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
106° 83°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
108° 87°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
105° 87°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
106° 88°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
104° 87°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
101° 83°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
99° 82°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
101° 84°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
102° 84°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
99° 85°
±9°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
97° 82°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
97° 82°
models agree

Avondale, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 111°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 41°F), with roughly 8 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Avondale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Avondale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
41°
Feb
68°
44°
Mar
73°
48°
Apr
86°
57°
May
94°
67°
Jun
103°
76°
Jul
111°
87°
Aug
107°
84°
Sep
102°
75°
Oct
93°
65°
Nov
76°
50°
Dec
70°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Avondale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F91±2.9 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
93±0.7°F92±2.4 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°101° to 103°±16%3% to 19% chance
Tomorrow±1°105° to 106°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±2°106° to 108°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±3°107° to 110°models agree2% to 2% chance
Wed±3°104° to 107°models agree10% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Avondale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
18:49
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Avondale today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Avondale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Avondale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Avondale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Avondale?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Avondale (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Avondale?
July is typically the warmest month in Avondale, with average highs around 111°F.
How cold does Avondale get?
The coldest month in Avondale is January, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Avondale get?
Avondale sees roughly 8 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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