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El Mirage weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around El Mirage and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

El Mirage, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 111°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 8 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for El Mirage right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

El Mirage climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
42°
Feb
67°
45°
Mar
71°
49°
Apr
85°
58°
May
93°
67°
Jun
103°
76°
Jul
111°
87°
Aug
106°
84°
Sep
101°
76°
Oct
92°
66°
Nov
75°
51°
Dec
70°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in El Mirage?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.5 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F85±4.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in El Mirage today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for El Mirage today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in El Mirage today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for El Mirage and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for El Mirage?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for El Mirage (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in El Mirage?
July is typically the warmest month in El Mirage, with average highs around 111°F.
How cold does El Mirage get?
The coldest month in El Mirage is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does El Mirage get?
El Mirage sees roughly 8 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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