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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Lake Havasu City weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Lake Havasu City today. Tomorrow: clear, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain.

81°60°
81°61°
84°65°
85°66°
85°67°
83°69°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Clear
Today 80°·Low 60°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Clear
Today 81°·Low 59°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Clear
Today 80°·Low 62°·Rain 2%
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Lake Havasu City weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lake Havasu City…

Lake Havasu City weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lake Havasu City swings 68°F across the year, from 108°F highs in July to 40°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 5 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 236 days a year at 77°F or above, 185 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 21 days.

Warmest month
July
108°F average high
Coldest month
December
40°F average low
Wettest month
February
5 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, November and December
Residents
54,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
236 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
21 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lake Havasu City’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Havasu City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lake Havasu City hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lake Havasu City 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
81° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
81° 61°
models agree
Mon
Clear
84° 65°
models agree
Tue
Clear
85° 66°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
85° 67°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
83° 69°
±7°
Fri
Drizzle
78° 67°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
76° 66°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
75° 65°
±14°
Mon
Drizzle
75° 64°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
80° 65°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
78° 65°
±16°
Thu
Cloudy
78° 66°
±13°

Lake Havasu City, Arizona (AZ) (often shortened to Lake Havasu) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 108°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 40°F), with roughly 5 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Havasu City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lake Havasu City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
69°
49°
Mar
76°
56°
Apr
83°
59°
May
93°
70°
Jun
103°
79°
Jul
108°
84°
Aug
106°
84°
Sep
100°
78°
Oct
85°
62°
Nov
72°
51°
Dec
60°
40°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Lake Havasu City's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°F

Around Lake Havasu City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004. 8 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average1996: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average1997: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: −3.1°F vs the 30-year average1999: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2000: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2002: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2005: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2014: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2017: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2023: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −12 vs the 30-year average1996: +5 vs the 30-year average1997: +4 vs the 30-year average1998: −34 vs the 30-year average1999: −11 vs the 30-year average2000: +8 vs the 30-year average2001: +19 vs the 30-year average2002: +4 vs the 30-year average2003: +14 vs the 30-year average2004: +5 vs the 30-year average2005: −13 vs the 30-year average2006: −1 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: +7 vs the 30-year average2010: −10 vs the 30-year average2011: +1 vs the 30-year average2012: +6 vs the 30-year average2013: −11 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −12 vs the 30-year average2017: −6 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: −12 vs the 30-year average2020: +27 vs the 30-year average2021: +5 vs the 30-year average2022: +8 vs the 30-year average2023: +8 vs the 30-year average2024: +18 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

1 fewer night a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5 vs the 30-year average1996: −2 vs the 30-year average1997: +4 vs the 30-year average1998: +2 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +0 vs the 30-year average2002: −2 vs the 30-year average2003: −2 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −1 vs the 30-year average2007: +8 vs the 30-year average2008: +7 vs the 30-year average2009: +6 vs the 30-year average2010: +1 vs the 30-year average2011: +6 vs the 30-year average2012: −3 vs the 30-year average2013: +11 vs the 30-year average2014: −4 vs the 30-year average2015: +1 vs the 30-year average2016: −4 vs the 30-year average2017: −2 vs the 30-year average2018: −3 vs the 30-year average2019: +7 vs the 30-year average2020: −4 vs the 30-year average2021: −6 vs the 30-year average2022: −1 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −3 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: +4% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +1% vs the 30-year average2000: −2% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: −5% vs the 30-year average2004: +4% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: +4% vs the 30-year average2011: +4% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +4% vs the 30-year average2014: −5% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: +1% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.4°F−12−5−5%
1996+0.2°F+5−2+1%
1997−0.7°F+4+4+4%
1998−3.1°F−34+2+1%
1999−0.7°F−11−4+1%
2000±0.0°F+8−4−2%
2001+0.2°F+19+0−5%
2002±0.0°F+4−2+1%
2003+0.5°F+14−2−5%
2004−0.9°F+5+1+4%
2005−1.1°F−13−6−2%
2006−0.5°F−1−1+1%
2007−0.4°F−4+8+1%
2008−1.1°F−4+7+1%
2009−0.5°F+7+6+1%
2010−1.4°F−10+1+4%
2011−1.6°F+1+6+4%
2012+0.7°F+6−3−2%
2013−1.1°F−11+11+4%
2014+1.3°F−6−4−5%
2015+0.9°F−3+1−2%
2016+1.4°F−12−4+1%
2017+2.0°F−6−2+1%
2018+1.3°F+8−3−2%
2019−1.1°F−12+7+1%
2020+1.4°F+27−4+1%
2021+1.6°F+5−6+1%
2022+0.9°F+8−1+1%
2023±0.0°F+8−4+1%
2024+2.2°F+18−3−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Lake Havasu City, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lake Havasu City?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F92±2.6 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°80° to 81°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree81° to 82°±1%0% to 1% chance
Monmodels agree83° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°83° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°82° to 87°±1%0% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lake Havasu City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
17:51
Daylight
11h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Havasu City today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Lake Havasu City today. Tomorrow: clear, around 81°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Lake Havasu City today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Lake Havasu City on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (NWS 1%, American 1%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Havasu City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lake Havasu City (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lake Havasu City?
July is typically the warmest month in Lake Havasu City, with average highs around 108°F.
How cold does Lake Havasu City get?
The coldest month in Lake Havasu City is December, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Lake Havasu City get?
Lake Havasu City sees roughly 5 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Lake Havasu City getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Lake Havasu City, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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