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CheckWeather USSierra Vista
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Sierra Vista weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Sierra Vista's high today between 81° and 88°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 87°, with a 43% chance of rain.

84°66°
87°70°
86°68°
87°69°
88°69°
88°68°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Light rain
Today 83°·Low 66°·Rain 13%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Cloudy
Today 88°·Low 67°·Rain 13%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Light drizzle
Today 81°·Low 65°·Rain 76%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Sierra Vista and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
84° 66°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
87° 70°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
86° 68°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
87° 69°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 69°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 68°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
84° 67°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
81° 66°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
82° 66°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
82° 68°
±7°
Tue
Drizzle
82° 66°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
82° 67°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
82° 66°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
83° 66°
models agree

Sierra Vista, AZ is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 8 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Sierra Vista right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Sierra Vista climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
34°
Feb
60°
37°
Mar
65°
40°
Apr
77°
48°
May
84°
55°
Jun
93°
65°
Jul
96°
72°
Aug
91°
69°
Sep
91°
66°
Oct
83°
59°
Nov
69°
44°
Dec
64°
41°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sierra Vista?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F82±5.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°81° to 88°±63%13% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±6°85° to 91°±28%15% to 43% chance
Mon±4°84° to 89°±20%31% to 51% chance
Tue±3°86° to 89°±10%47% to 57% chance
Wed±5°86° to 91°±22%29% to 51% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sierra Vista

today, local time
Sunrise
05:59
Sunset
18:40
Daylight
12h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sierra Vista today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Sierra Vista today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sierra Vista today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Sierra Vista and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sierra Vista?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sierra Vista (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sierra Vista?
July is typically the warmest month in Sierra Vista, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Sierra Vista get?
The coldest month in Sierra Vista is January, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Sierra Vista get?
Sierra Vista sees roughly 8 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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