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Virginia weather today

We follow 174 towns and cities in Virginia, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 66°F in Blacksburg and 75°F in Newport News, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 20 of the 28 places we hold today's forecast for.

Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.

Weather in Virginia's largest cities today

consensus of NWS, American, European, forecast run of Saturday, October 3
CityTodayHigh / lowRain chanceTomorrowModels agree
Virginia BeachLight drizzle74°F / 68°F31%Light rain, 72°FHigh (1°F apart)
NorfolkLight drizzle74°F / 67°F37%Light rain, 73°FHigh (1°F apart)
ChesapeakeLight drizzle74°F / 67°F37%Light rain, 74°FHigh (1°F apart)
RichmondLight rain73°F / 60°F78%Light rain, 68°FHigh (2°F apart)
ArlingtonDrizzle69°F / 58°F76%Heavy drizzle, 64°FHigh (2°F apart)
Newport NewsDrizzle75°F / 66°F41%Light rain, 73°FHigh (1°F apart)
AlexandriaDrizzle71°F / 59°F71%Heavy drizzle, 66°FHigh (3°F apart)
East HamptonLight rain74°F / 65°F75%Light rain, 73°FHigh (1°F apart)
HamptonLight rain74°F / 66°F75%Light rain, 73°FHigh (1°F apart)
RoanokeLight rain71°F / 59°F100%Drizzle, 67°FHigh (3°F apart)
Portsmouth HeightsLight drizzle74°F / 67°F36%Light rain, 73°FHigh (1°F apart)
PortsmouthLight drizzle74°F / 67°F37%Light rain, 74°FHigh (1°F apart)
SuffolkRain74°F / 66°F41%Light rain, 74°FHigh (1°F apart)
South SuffolkRain74°F / 66°F41%Light rain, 74°FHigh (2°F apart)
LynchburgLight rain72°F / 58°F96%Drizzle, 67°FHigh (4°F apart)
CentrevilleDrizzle68°F / 57°F73%Light drizzle, 65°FHigh (2°F apart)
Dale CityDrizzle70°F / 58°F73%Light rain, 65°FHigh (2°F apart)
West LynchburgLight rain72°F / 58°F96%Heavy drizzle, 67°FHigh (4°F apart)
RestonDrizzle69°F / 58°F78%Heavy drizzle, 64°FHigh (2°F apart)
HarrisonburgDrizzle67°F / 55°F84%Drizzle, 65°FHigh (3°F apart)

Rain chance is the highest of the three models. "Models agree" compares their forecast highs, the same confidence rule as on every city page.

Virginia weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts in Virginia…

Today across Virginia

from the latest model run, Saturday, October 3
Warmest today
74.5°F
Newport News, VA
  1. Virginia Beach, VA74.2°F
  2. Richmond, VA72.5°F
  3. Lynchburg, VA72.1°F
  4. Danville, VA71.5°F
Coldest low today
54.7°F
Harrisonburg, VA
  1. Blacksburg, VA56.4°F
  2. Manassas, VA57.3°F
  3. Charlottesville, VA57.3°F
  4. Lynchburg, VA57.5°F
Rain most certain
73%
Blacksburg, VA
  1. Roanoke, VA72%
  2. Lynchburg, VA72%
  3. Richmond, VA70%
  4. Charlottesville, VA66%
Windiest
16 mph
Virginia Beach, VA
  1. Newport News, VA12 mph
  2. Harrisonburg, VA11 mph
  3. West Lynchburg, VA11 mph
  4. Leesburg, VA11 mph

Warmest and coldest use the average of NWS, American, European. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the state.

The past week across Virginia

analysed, the seven days September 22 to September 28
Warmest
74.3°F
Emporia, VA
  1. South Boston, VA74.2°F
  2. Suffolk, VA74.0°F
  3. Danville, VA73.5°F
  4. Petersburg, VA73.3°F
Coolest
65.0°F
Woodstock, VA
  1. Bluefield, VA65.9°F
  2. Covington, VA66.0°F
  3. Harrisonburg, VA66.2°F
  4. Arlington, VA67.3°F
Sunniest
76%
Bristol, VA
  1. Bluefield, VA71%
  2. Big Stone Gap, VA71%
  3. Richlands, VA71%
  4. Galax, VA69%
Least wind
3 mph
Big Stone Gap, VA
  1. Bristol, VA3 mph
  2. Richlands, VA3 mph
  3. Roanoke, VA3 mph
  4. Wytheville, VA3 mph
Windiest
13 mph
Gloucester Point, VA
  1. Virginia Beach, VA12 mph
  2. Woodlawn, VA7 mph
  3. Suffolk, VA5 mph
  4. Richmond, VA5 mph

Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.

Which forecast is most accurate in Virginia?

Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 42 Virginia cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 42 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.

Virginia Beach: European 80/100Norfolk: European 81/100Chesapeake: European 87/100Richmond: European 95/100Arlington: European 89/100Newport News: European 80/100Alexandria: European 86/100East Hampton: European 85/100Hampton: European 86/100Roanoke: European 88/100Portsmouth Heights: European 85/100Portsmouth: European 89/100

How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.

Virginia climate, city by city

Across the 99 Virginia places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 83°F in Galax to 92°F in Strasburg, and January highs from 45°F in Winchester to 55°F in Franklin. Portsmouth Heights is the wettest at about 50 in of precipitation a year, Strasburg the driest at about 30 in.

CityJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Virginia Beach54°F85°FMarch43 in
Norfolk54°F87°FJuly48 in
Chesapeake55°F87°FJune47 in
Richmond51°F90°FDecember37 in
Arlington48°F89°FJuly47 in
Newport News53°F87°FMarch47 in
Alexandria48°F89°FDecember47 in
East Hampton53°F87°FMarch47 in
Hampton53°F87°FMarch47 in
Roanoke48°F90°FSeptember39 in
Portsmouth Heights55°F88°FJuly50 in
Portsmouth55°F87°FJune47 in
Suffolk55°F88°FJuly47 in
South Suffolk55°F88°FJuly47 in
Lynchburg49°F89°FSeptember36 in

Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.

All 174 places in Virginia

every town and city we cover, A to Z

Common questions

What is the weather in Virginia today?
Today the three models put highs between 66°F in Blacksburg and 75°F in Newport News, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 20 of the 28 places we hold today's forecast for. Open any town on this page for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.
Where is it warmest in Virginia today?
Newport News has the highest forecast high of the 28 Virginia places we hold today's forecast for, near 75°F. Blacksburg is the coolest, near 66°F.
Which weather forecast is most accurate in Virginia?
Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 42 Virginia cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 42 of them.
What is the climate like in Virginia?
Across the 99 Virginia places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 83°F in Galax to 92°F in Strasburg, and January highs from 45°F in Winchester to 55°F in Franklin. Portsmouth Heights is the wettest at about 50 in of precipitation a year, Strasburg the driest at about 30 in.

More US weather

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