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CheckWeather USWest Lynchburg
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

West Lynchburg weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in West Lynchburg today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 80°, with a 65% chance of rain.

89°71°
80°68°
82°63°
85°61°
91°62°
94°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
89°
Light rain
Today 89°·Low 72°·Rain 36%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Cloudy
Today 88°·Low 70°·Rain 36%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Light drizzle
Today 90°·Low 70°·Rain 69%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Lynchburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
89° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
80° 68°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
82° 63°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
85° 61°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
91° 62°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 68°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
88° 70°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
87° 66°
±8°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
88° 67°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
90° 68°
±12°
Tue
Drizzle
84° 64°
±21°
Wed
Drizzle
77° 61°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 59°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 59°
±13°

West Lynchburg, VA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 36 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Lynchburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Lynchburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
32°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
61°
39°
Apr
71°
47°
May
76°
55°
Jun
85°
61°
Jul
89°
68°
Aug
86°
65°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
71°
49°
Nov
59°
39°
Dec
50°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in West Lynchburg?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
58
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.8 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°88° to 90°±33%36% to 69% chance
Tomorrow±4°77° to 81°±37%28% to 65% chance
Mon±2°81° to 83°±7%1% to 8% chance
Tue±3°84° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°89° to 92°±15%0% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West Lynchburg

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:39
Daylight
12h 49m

Common questions

What's the weather in West Lynchburg today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for West Lynchburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in West Lynchburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for West Lynchburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Lynchburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Lynchburg (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 58. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Lynchburg?
July is typically the warmest month in West Lynchburg, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does West Lynchburg get?
The coldest month in West Lynchburg is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does West Lynchburg get?
West Lynchburg sees roughly 36 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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