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CheckWeather US›Virginia›West Lynchburg
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

West Lynchburg weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in West Lynchburg today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

61°41°
64°43°
70°39°
71°44°
63°46°
71°43°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
62°
Clear
Today 62°·Low 41°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
62°
Cloudy
Today 62°·Low 39°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Mostly clear
Today 61°·Low 44°·Rain 0%
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West Lynchburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering West Lynchburg…

West Lynchburg weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

West Lynchburg swings 60°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 44 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 138 days a year at 77°F or above, 66 of them at 86°F or above, 69 frost nights, and rain on 111 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
July
44 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
66,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
138 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
69 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
111 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for West Lynchburg’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around West Lynchburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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West Lynchburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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West Lynchburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
61° 41°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
64° 43°
models agree
Mon
Clear
70° 39°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
71° 44°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
63° 46°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 43°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
75° 46°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
71° 48°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
67° 49°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
62° 51°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
64° 43°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
58° 42°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
66° 40°
±11°

West Lynchburg, Virginia (VA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for West Lynchburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

West Lynchburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
45°
28°
Feb
48°
28°
Mar
57°
35°
Apr
68°
44°
May
75°
54°
Jun
85°
61°
Jul
88°
67°
Aug
85°
64°
Sep
78°
59°
Oct
69°
47°
Nov
56°
36°
Dec
48°
30°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around West Lynchburg has changed since 1995

West Lynchburg sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Lynchburg. That square ran 2.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Lynchburg page.

Which forecast is most accurate in West Lynchburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F96±1.3 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F94±1.8 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°61° to 62°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°64° to 65°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°68° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°70° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°62° to 65°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in West Lynchburg

today, local time
Sunrise
07:33
Sunset
18:27
Daylight
10h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in West Lynchburg today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in West Lynchburg today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in West Lynchburg today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in West Lynchburg on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for West Lynchburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for West Lynchburg (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in West Lynchburg?
July is typically the warmest month in West Lynchburg, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does West Lynchburg get?
The coldest month in West Lynchburg is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does West Lynchburg get?
West Lynchburg sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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