Harrisonburg weather
Loading live data…Showers,rain likely tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model put Harrisonburg's high today between 77° and 82°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 78°, with a 25% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Harrisonburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitHarrisonburg is a town of about 53,000 people in VA, sitting at 38.4°N in a temperate climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Harrisonburg with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Bridgewater, Staunton, Fishersville.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Which forecast is most accurate in Harrisonburg?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.